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Srinagar: Interpretation of the available data indicates that another spell of snowfall and rains is likely across Jammu & Kashmir between November 11 and 14.

A mid-altitude Subtropical Westerly Jet (SWJ), commonly referred to as Western Disturbance in Jammu & Kashmir, is likely to approach J&K on November 10.

Significantly, this is the second major Subtropical Westerly Jet (SWJ) to strike J&K in three weeks time. Such frequent Western Disturbances in November month are unusual, if not unprecedented.

An expert at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society told Ziraat Times that such frequent early Subtropical Westerly Jet (SWJ) ‘may be a result of weak El Nino impact this fall and winter.’

Analysis of the probable wind direction, surface and atmospheric temperature in Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan region, north-east Afghanistan, likely cloud density and orographic effect by Ziraat Times suggests varied snowfall activity in Kashmir, Ladakh and mountainous parts of Jammu provinces during November 11 and 14.

Likely charge variations between the aerosols in the Kashmir valley (mostly due to smoke in its atmosphere) and the natural charge of the orographic effect may result in extensive lightening and thunder, resulting in heavier snowfall in Pirpanjal, Outer Himalayas range between Gund-Baltal areas, Zojila Pass and Zanasar-Kishtwar and Doda belt.